Actually I asked a friend of mine who works at UCLA precisely that question. ie wether or not the big one might be on the way. There is a model by one UCLA researcher which is being looked at with some interest by the USGS and the California Geological Survey. But although the model suggests a fairly large quake, "somewhere" in SoCal in the relatively near future, it's still not refined enough to be a good predictor. Remember that with increased frequency of smaller quakes much of the energy that's stored in faults is released which is likely to reduce the likelyhood of a super large quake in the near future.

- Peter.

__________________
2021 Chevrolet Spark
Formerly...
2000 GMC Sonoma
1981 240D 4spd stick. 347000 miles. Deceased Feb 14 2021
2002 Kia Rio. Worst crap on four wheels
1981 240D 4spd stick. 389000 miles.
1984 123 200
1979 116 280S
1972 Cadillac Sedan DeVille
1971 108 280S