It's also worth noting that you're comparing actual measurements of global mean temperature with local temperature in Antarctica from sampled ice cores. I would not consider that an apple-to-apple comparison and I'd expect the latter to have much more variation.
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Yes, that is what I am saying.
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All of that data is based on ice cores.
Here is more from NOAA: http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwarming/home.html |
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http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwarming/what.html Quote:
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Water vapor is the single largest greenhouse gas. It accounts for more than double the warming effect of CO2.
CO2 has been rising and falling in conjunction with global temperature long before Humans were around. http://jeffreyellis.org/images/climate_chart.jpg |
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Think of CO2 as your car's windows. If you let your car sit in the sun, the sun's radiation is not the only factor that determines the temperature inside your car. If you close all your windows it will obviously be hotter inside than if you leave them open. That's the same effect that increased CO2 has on Earth. |
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While this chart shows increasing temperatures over the last 35 years (excluding the last 7 years). It's no different from the rise in temperatures in the early 1800's and the far larger increase in the early 1700's.
I wonder if they had any carbon offset programs back then? |
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http://www.norcalblogs.com/watts/ima..._1611-2001.png The same cannot be said of the rise in temps in the 2nd half of the 20th century. Increased CO2 is the only explanation. http://www.skepticalscience.com/images/tsi_vs_temp.gif |
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CO2 absorbs energy in a narrow bandwidth and absorbs it logarithmically and at some point, adding more won't change anything. If the pre-industrial age CO2 density was 280 ppm, the first half of it's heating effect was caused by 20 ppm. The second half by 260 ppm. Most writing say this accounts for a 1.5 deg C rise in average temperatures. At this rate we would need a density of 9000 ppm to double the heating effect, to add another 1.5 deg C. I don't think we'll get there. |
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I don't know where you're pulling the numbers from in your last paragraph. From what I've read the average temp in this century is projected to rise up to 10F (if we do nothing) and 9000 ppm CO2 is definitely NOT required for that. 10F may not sound like much, but keep in mind this is the average temp which historically changes very slowly so this is a huge jump and the most worrying aspect is the temperature extremes that come along with such a drastic change in the average. |
We never got to a point where adding such a small amount of CO2 changed anything.
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