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-   -   Social Security spiraling towards failure. (http://www.peachparts.com/shopforum/off-topic-discussion/217549-social-security-spiraling-towards-failure.html)

mikemover 03-26-2008 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dculkin (Post 1804598)
Good grief. Such doom and gloom.

For one thing, since when is the Bush administration a reliable source of information about Social Security? I am not saying whether anything Secretary Paulson said is or is not accurate, but I sure as heck wouldn't take his word for it. The administration has been putting out false information on Social Security since W took office.

More to the point, even Secretary Paulson doesn't say that "Social Security is spiraling towards failure". He says:Thankfully, 300 days from now we will have a new President. Maybe then something can be done to save Social Security, which is on the short list of the greatest accomplishments in the history of mankind.

Having said all that, no, I am not expecting to rely on Social Security for my retirement.


If it's one of "mankind's greatest accomplishments", and everything negative that anyone says about this "accomplishment" is just Bush administration propaganda.....

....then why are you so hesitant to rely on it for your retirement?

:rolleyes:

Either it's solid and everything's OK, or it's failing.

Can't have it both ways!

This is not a partisan issue, and the Secretary's statements are NOT mis-informataion. The REALITY of the matter is that the system is unsustainable, and all of the "fixes" that politicians have been offering are only making it worse by delaying the inevitable.

...Which is costing us even MORE of our hard-earned money in the meantime.

It is a flawed, doomed, unfair wealth re-distribution system that is taken advantage of both by irresponsible citizens AND power-hungry politicians, and it should be phased out. Or participation should be made VOLUNTARY, at the very least.

Mike

BobK 03-26-2008 11:31 AM

if you have an IRA, a 401k or anything similar, ask a very old railroad worker where they got the money to start SS. They have probably already figured out how to fix SS and you won't like it.

Honus 03-26-2008 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikemover (Post 1804726)
...everything negative that anyone says about this "accomplishment" is just Bush administration propaganda...

I didn't say that.
Quote:

...then why are you so hesitant to rely on it for your retirement?...
Because its future depends on politicians doing the right thing.
Quote:

...Either it's solid and everything's OK, or it's failing...
Not true. The Social Security system is solid, but everything is definitely not OK. It needs fixing, but the fix is well within our reach.
Quote:

...the Secretary's statements are NOT mis-informataion...
I didn't say they were, but I do wonder how you know that his statements are accurate.

EDIT: And I don't recall seeing anything from Secretary Paulson that says that the system cannot be fixed.
Quote:

The REALITY of the matter is that the system is unsustainable, and all of the "fixes" that politicians have been offering are only making it worse by delaying the inevitable.
Many economists disagree with you.
Quote:

...Or participation should be made VOLUNTARY, at the very least...
A voluntary system would fail. The only way the system works is for some people to die before they receive the amount they paid in. It is just the slight touch of socialism that our capitalist system needs to continue operating.

Dee8go 03-26-2008 11:59 AM

People are going to start having bigger families like they used to, just to insure there are enough kids around to support the parents when they get old and can't work any longer.

connerm 03-26-2008 12:05 PM

[QUOTE=dculkin;1804598]Good grief. Such doom and gloom.

on the short list of the greatest accomplishments in the history of mankind

I respectfully disagree. SS is the greatest tax ever perpetrated on the American public.

mikemover 03-26-2008 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dculkin (Post 1804760)
Because its future depends on politicians doing the right thing.

Which is one of the biggest reasons that it is destined to fail.

Quote:

Originally Posted by dculkin (Post 1804760)
Many economists disagree with you.

And many economists agree with me.

Mike

mrhills0146 03-26-2008 12:09 PM

Just put it in a lock box and everything will be okay.

-Al Gore

Dee8go 03-26-2008 12:09 PM

Many economists disagree with each other all the time . . .

SwampYankee 03-26-2008 12:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dee8go (Post 1804762)
People are going to start having bigger families like they used to, just to insure there are enough kids around to support the parents when they get old and can't work any longer.

The hell you say???? They wouldn't, would they?

Hatterasguy 03-26-2008 12:55 PM

The writing has been on the wall for years. Either they are going to have to cut benifits or raise taxes...A LOT! No politician is going to say gee sorry but were going to have to cut that SS check by 30%. Consider that a lot of old people vote they would be pissing there politcal career away. So they are going to wait until their is a massive problem and they have to deal with it.

My retirement plan involves real estate that cash flows.:D

Honus 03-26-2008 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by connerm (Post 1804769)
...I respectfully disagree. SS is the greatest tax ever perpetrated on the American public.

That's fair. I think it's a great system in part because I would find it unacceptable to live in a purely capitalistic society. Capitalism has brought greater prosperity to more people than any system I know, but we need a safety net. Social Security provides that safety net in an efficient, low-overhead manner. It has lifted many, many Americans out of poverty and prevented many others from falling into poverty and doesn't impose such a penalty as to discourage people from trying earn as much as they can.

Honus 03-26-2008 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikemover (Post 1804772)
Which is one of the biggest reasons that it is destined to fail.



And many economists agree with me.

Mike

I agree with both statements.

aklim 03-26-2008 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dculkin (Post 1804760)
I didn't say that.

Because its future depends on politicians doing the right thing.

The Social Security system is solid, but everything is definitely not OK. It needs fixing, but the fix is well within our reach.

A voluntary system would fail.

The only way the system works is for some people to die before they receive the amount they paid in.

It is just the slight touch of socialism that our capitalist system needs to continue operating.

I thought you once said it was the best thing we ever did?

But once Bush gets out of office, they will do the right thing. So where is the problem? It is all Bush. Now you say it is the elected officials. Which is it?

How do you define "solid"? When I say "solid" it is find and can run on. My car is "solid" because it is running without a flaw. When my car needs to be fixed, it won't be "solid" any more. If it keeps breaking down and needs fixing, I won't call it "solid". If it is needing a major overhaul, I don't call it solid either. To me, solid means it is running the way it should. Well, maybe once in a while, a small fix.

And why is that? Because it cannot work without forced participation? That is your definition of solid? It is so solid that without being forced into it, the entire thing is so fragile it will crack and break?

I thought it was depending on enough people contributing into it? IIRC, it was designed for more workers vs retirees than we are having now?

You do realize that whether you add a spoonful of sewage into a barrel of fine wine or you add a spoonful of fine wine into sewage, the result is the same, don't you?

Honus 03-26-2008 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aklim (Post 1804925)
I thought you once said it was the best thing we ever did?

It is one of the best things we ever did. If I said it was the best, then I exaggerated.
Quote:

But once Bush gets out of office, they will do the right thing. So where is the problem? It is all Bush. Now you say it is the elected officials. Which is it?
I didn't say that anyone would do the right thing. I said that once Bush is gone, "maybe" they will do the right thing.
Quote:

How do you define "solid"?
Less than perfect, but sustainable with reasonable adjustments.
Quote:

...And why is that? Because it cannot work without forced participation? That is your definition of solid? It is so solid that without being forced into it, the entire thing is so fragile it will crack and break?...
Right. What is wrong with that? Do you doubt the government's ability to continue to force people to pay into Social Security? If not, then how is the system not solid?
Quote:

I thought it was depending on enough people contributing into it? IIRC, it was designed for more workers vs retirees than we are having now?
I don't have the expertise to discuss the details of all that. As I understand it, though, there are many people who die before they get back the money they paid in. It stands to reason that those payments go the benefit of the surviving recipients.
Quote:

You do realize that whether you add a spoonful of sewage into a barrel of fine wine or you add a spoonful of fine wine into sewage, the result is the same, don't you?
If you say so. I don't have any experience with that sort of thing.

aklim 03-26-2008 02:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dculkin (Post 1804942)
It is one of the best things we ever did. If I said it was the best, then I exaggerated.

I said that once Bush is gone, "maybe" they will do the right thing.

Less than perfect, but sustainable with reasonable adjustments.

Right. What is wrong with that? Do you doubt the government's ability to continue to force people to pay into Social Security? If not, then how is the system not solid?

I don't have the expertise to discuss the details of all that. As I understand it, though, there are many people who die before they get back the money they paid in. It stands to reason that those payments go the benefit of the surviving recipients.

If you say so. I don't have any experience with that sort of thing.

I seem to recall you telling me it was our greatest successful program or something to that effect when I said before that it was a mess.

As right as they have been doing since BEFORE Bush came to office? IOW, if Bush didn't mess with it, it could have gone on forever? And you think that they are going to make it work AFTER he is out?

How reasonable do you want to make it? We started out with 22 workers to 1 retiree. Now the figure is less than 10 workers to 1 retiree. Fixes have been put off, funds have been raided, etc, etc. Any fix is NOT going to be a small painless adjustment. It is going to HURT.

The ration of workers is dropping FAST. How long it can sustain itself will definitely be in doubt even if you press ganged everybody into it, including retirees.

It was set up in a different day and time when there were way more workers than retirees. Now the equation has drastically changed and will change even more when the baby boomers retire. How can that be classified as "solid"? The main basis for your making money has changed. You get paid $2200 a month. Now you are being paid $400 a month. Skipping out on your Starbucks Latte once a week isn't going to change things much. Hence my saying that the system is a mess.

What would you think of investing in a barrel of the finest wine with a spoonful of sewage in it?


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