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  #1  
Old 09-17-2007, 11:13 AM
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A thought about the housing market

Suppose you manage to sell your home and move into another. Doesn't it all even out in the end? You sell your home for a few grand under what it was worth last year, and you buy a home for under a few grand...

The only losers are folks who need to sell and won't be buying.

The real winners are first time buyers.

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  #2  
Old 09-17-2007, 12:38 PM
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Actualy you make out buying up in a down market.

Most people move up to a new home thats worth about 50% more than the old.

So lets say you are selling your $200k house and buying one for $300k.

Lets say in this city prices have dropped 10%.

So now its $180k for yours, but the home you want is $270k.

Your $10k ahead.
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  #3  
Old 09-17-2007, 12:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kuan View Post
Suppose you manage to sell your home and move into another. Doesn't it all even out in the end? You sell your home for a few grand under what it was worth last year, and you buy a home for under a few grand...

The only losers are folks who need to sell and won't be buying.

The real winners are first time buyers.
That is the logical way of thinking, unfortunately the average person is not logical.

It's not a loss until you sell for a loss.
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  #4  
Old 09-17-2007, 01:55 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
Actualy you make out buying up in a down market.

Most people move up to a new home thats worth about 50% more than the old.

So lets say you are selling your $200k house and buying one for $300k.

Lets say in this city prices have dropped 10%.

So now its $180k for yours, but the home you want is $270k.

Your $10k ahead.
Unless, of course, you write a decent contract on a new house and then you can't sell the old house due to worsening conditions. In a down market, maybe its best to sell yours first and rent back, while dealing on a new house.
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  #5  
Old 09-17-2007, 05:29 PM
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Another disadvantage of buying up in an up market is property taxes. You are paying more in property taxes since you are buying a more expensive home.

Look at me. My old property taxes on the home I sold in 2005 were about $1,500 / year, whereas with my new home purchased in 2005 I am now paying about $7,000 / year.
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  #6  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:07 PM
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Another way of looking at house values is to ask what they would rent for. Around here, cost of homes has risen far higher than rents. From this point of view most homes in Denver are overvalued.
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  #7  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:24 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
Actualy you make out buying up in a down market.

Most people move up to a new home thats worth about 50% more than the old.

So lets say you are selling your $200k house and buying one for $300k.

Lets say in this city prices have dropped 10%.

So now its $180k for yours, but the home you want is $270k.

Your $10k ahead.

Before or after real estate fees?

Tom W
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  #8  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:28 PM
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Before or after real estate fees?

Tom W
.......and title fees.........and mortgage tax..........and tax stamps..........and title searches...........and points..........and appraisal costs...........and attorney fees...........and...........
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Old 09-17-2007, 06:41 PM
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You gotta pay those fees anyway so it's still a wash.
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  #10  
Old 09-17-2007, 06:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kuan View Post
You gotta pay those fees anyway.............
...........only if you sell.........
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  #11  
Old 09-17-2007, 08:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Brian Carlton View Post
.......and title fees.........and mortgage tax..........and tax stamps..........and title searches...........and points..........and appraisal costs...........and attorney fees...........and...........
In Michigan you get an extra title whack for paying cash.....yip.
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  #12  
Old 09-17-2007, 10:05 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by t walgamuth View Post
Before or after real estate fees?

Tom W
Of course, I don't work cheap ya know!
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  #13  
Old 09-17-2007, 10:18 PM
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Originally Posted by Howitzer View Post
In Michigan you get an extra title whack for paying cash.....yip.
Actually, none of that matters............when you're staring down a 5% commission on a sales price of $875K.

And, believe it or not..........you cannot sell this property yourself.
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  #14  
Old 09-17-2007, 10:22 PM
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I came within an inch of selling a house for $900k a few weeks ago. Only a 2% split though, I rather see 2.5 or 3.

2% of $900k is still a nice profit, even after all the crap we have to pay is paid.
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  #15  
Old 09-17-2007, 10:26 PM
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Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
2% of $900k is still a nice profit, even after all the crap we have to pay is paid.
Well.........everybody has their hands in the pie to the tune of $4K-$5K. But, when a real estate agent gets to stuff their pockets with $45K..........there's something wrong with the picture.

Spare me the details of the split in commission. Just show me anywhere near $45K in effort and costs to sell such a property..............

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