Has anyone compared these guys to the accuracy rate of Jeanne Dixon?

Warm sea-surface temperatures combined with favorable winds should make this season “well above average,” said Colorado State University forecasters Dr. William Gray and Philip Klotzbach. They predict that there will be 15 storms in all, including eight hurricanes and four storms that could reach “major” status with Category 3 winds or higher.

Last season was supposed to be the worst ever. I'll try for that again. Either way it'll be global warming.

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1980 300TD-China Blue/Blue MBTex-2nd Owner, 107K (Alt Blau) OBK #15
'06 Chevy Tahoe Z71 (for the wife & 4 kids, current mule) '03 Honda Odyssey (son #1's ride, reluctantly) '99 GMC Suburban (255K+ miles, semi-retired mule) 21' SeaRay Seville (summer escape pod)

they said that about last year, and the year before last..


We shall see.

This year because of the man made global warming, it will be so bad that I predict 200 cat V storms. You people best just kiss your butt goodbye and give me all your money.

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01 Ford Excursion Powerstroke
99 E300 Turbodiesel
91 Vette with 383 motor
05 Polaris Sportsman 800 EFI
06 Polaris Sportsman 500 EFI
03 SeaDoo GTX SC Red
03 SeaDoo GTX SC Yellow
04 Tailgator 21 ft Toy Hauler
11 Harley Davidson 883 SuperLow

well, time to fill those sand bags.


I need to look into something to cover the house windows with. Last major hurricane season we used 1/2" plywood. I recently saw some heavy duty PVC coated fabric covers that allow in light.

As a guy who lives on the Gulf Coast, I can say to you with 100% certainty that the forecasters DON'T KNOW JACK SQUAT! They haven't known a damn thing since I started paying attention to them about ten years ago. What comes will come.

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- Brian


1989 500SEL Euro
1966 250SE Cabriolet
1958 BMW Isetta 600

....ain't worth the paper.....

From Armageddononline.org (some name, eh?)

A 69 percent chance that at least one major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. coastline in 2008 (the long-term average probability is 52 percent).
A 45 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula (the long-term average is 31 percent)
A 44 percent chance that a major hurricane will make landfall on the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle west to Brownsville (the long-term average is 30 percent).

The team also predicted above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean

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It is a truism that almost any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so. Robert A. Heinlein


09 Jetta TDI
1985 300D

The first prediction using the scientific method was in 1900, Galveston. The forecaster predicted a slight storm, IIRC.

B

I read Isaac's Storm and they thought the Hurricane was over Florida, and when they did realize the storm was quite sizable but in the Gulf, no one wanted to use the word "Hurricane" because it might scare people. Brilliant. Don't save us from the hurricane, save us from the idiots calling the shots.

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- Brian


1989 500SEL Euro
1966 250SE Cabriolet
1958 BMW Isetta 600

Yeah, that's the story. I've wanted to read the book. What did you think of it?

B

Isn't that sort of like using the term "economic downturn" when really it's a recession/depression?
Yes, there are times when some sort of tact is in order...but when it comes to something that is a bit more important, the proper word with the proper impact, should be used.

__________________
It is a truism that almost any sect, cult, or religion will legislate its creed into law if it acquires the political power to do so. Robert A. Heinlein


09 Jetta TDI
1985 300D

-starts hording diesel-

http://wind.mit.edu/%7Eemanuel/storm.html