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-   -   Only if you don’t think China is future Military Threat (http://www.peachparts.com/shopforum/showthread.php?t=351626)

Dudesky 02-25-2014 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjts1 (Post 3292304)
Don't confuse a training excersize with war. They'll use every opportunity to train their people in a realistic environment the same way we do.

War between the US and China is pure tin foil hattery. If there was a war you would be dead in the first 20 minutes.

Don't bet on it. Do they put a hydrophone in the water and announce "training exercise under way-do not attack" ?

One must then ask, why did they surface?

Quote:

When the U.S. Navy deploys a battle fleet on exercises, it takes the security of its aircraft carriers very seriously indeed.
At least a dozen warships provide a physical guard while the technical wizardry of the world's only military superpower offers an invisible shield to detect and deter any intruders.
That is the theory. Or, rather, was the theory.


pj67coll 02-25-2014 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Botnst (Post 3292450)
The US military needs to reconfigure from a land-based, conventional, protracted war in Europe and Asia to unconventional projection of power of short duration and high lethality.

We don't need a vast amphibious fleet to carry armies around the world.

We don't need thousands of tactical and strategic nukes and delivery systems.

We don't need 12 carrier battle groups.

With the exception of the reference to the Nukes with which I agree I think you're wrong on the rest. I think the US is making a huge mistake with it's shrinking force structure and reliance on fighting by proxy.

To pretend they are able to guess the type of warfare that will occur in future is to fly in the face of history, the lessons of which indicate the need for a large balanced force capable of countering all possible threats. Not just a few current ones.

- Peter.

Hatterasguy 02-25-2014 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Botnst (Post 3292450)
The US military needs to reconfigure from a land-based, conventional, protracted war in Europe and Asia to unconventional projection of power of short duration and high lethality.

We don't need a vast amphibious fleet to carry armies around the world.

We don't need thousands of tactical and strategic nukes and delivery systems.

We don't need 12 carrier battle groups.

That's what the Navy is working on; USS Zumwalt.

Carriers are going the way of the battleship with the improvement of drones. I suspect the current class the Navy is launching will be the last.

tjts1 02-25-2014 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dudesky (Post 3292514)
Don't bet on it. Do they put a hydrophone in the water and announce "training exercise under way-do not attack" ?

One must then ask, why did they surface?

For the same reason we sneak up and surprise their navy regularly. They pulled it off once, we do it more often than anyone cares to admit.

Botnst 02-25-2014 06:15 PM

The best thing the Navy could do would be never admit they are able to do it. Next best would be to deny they could do it. Like planting sensors in USSR Navy ports. Bet your ass we've got 'em all over China. Never admit it.

Botnst 02-25-2014 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pj67coll (Post 3292547)
With the exception of the reference to the Nukes with which I agree I think you're wrong on the rest. I think the US is making a huge mistake with it's shrinking force structure and reliance on fighting by proxy.

To pretend they are able to guess the type of warfare that will occur in future is to fly in the face of history, the lessons of which indicate the need for a large balanced force capable of countering all possible threats. Not just a few current ones.

- Peter.

I understand your argument, especially with the Navy, which takes years to build-out to a global fleet.

The balance is in the models of what the next few decades holds for projecting power. Is there a military that we could be fighting in the next few decades that has the ability to threaten us with conventional warfare? The most likely two candidates are Russia and China, neither of which have amphibious capabilities and whose ability to dominate the sea lanes is at best, a wet dream of their respective militaries. China's venture into naval aviation is using a 30 year-old soviet failure Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. True, they will learn a lot for the venture. And they will have to, because in order to challenge western naval aviation they will have to build vessels and tactics that exceed our own. That won't happen within the next 2-3 decades at the earliest.

Their sub fleet is getting better as they use diesel-electric which is pretty good right up until they have to snorkel to recharge. Their nukes are 20 years behind the curve. Goodness knows what their sensors are capable of, but I doubt they are much better than the hulls. Rumor has it that their nukes are built for speed rather than silence. That's a bad choice (for them, good for us) and again, well behind the curve.

With the conventional army, I just don't see a need for the USA to fight a land war in Asia. Let France do it. The PLA just doesn't have the sealift capacity to threaten anybody not on their continent. Not even Japan or Taiwan.

Dudesky 02-25-2014 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjts1 (Post 3292556)
For the same reason we sneak up and surprise their navy regularly. They pulled it off once, we do it more often than anyone cares to admit.

Showing our presence would be stupid. Sitting there fat, dumb and happy for all to see and the war bells sounds....Now they know where we are.

We didn't know they were there until it surfaced....LOL

tjts1 02-25-2014 07:03 PM

Good thing you're not in charge of anything in the DOD. That would be a real disaster.

Dudesky 02-25-2014 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjts1 (Post 3292662)
Good thing you're not in charge of anything in the DOD. That would be a real disaster.


Like you can do any better.

barry12345 02-25-2014 07:57 PM

There becomes also the reality of affordability for a large existing military force. This means with so much loss on the industrial front it is really not there. Some hard decisions should be made before the inevitable loss of the current standard of living falls seriously for citizens otherwise.

If excess money is continued to be spent on the military and the infrastructure. At some point there will be widespread poverty in one form or another to enable it. Economic games can be played until they just ultimately run out of options.

This already is noticeable. Social issues present from the ongoing drain of resources and money have already made their mark.

There are not too many nut case countries like North Korea and perhaps some in the middle east. There is something to be said for aid to Pakistan as well. The main one being why with their attitudes.

Russia and China are not really interested in outright aggression. Although China wants back territories that where historically theirs.

America is learning that their days of having excess influence in a region are slowly fading. No matter how much money is spent on the military.

Dudesky 02-25-2014 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by barry12345 (Post 3292703)
There becomes also the reality of affordability for a large existing military force. This means with so much loss on the industrial front it is really not there. Some hard decisions should be made before the inevitable loss of the current standard of living falls seriously for citizens otherwise.

If excess money is continued to be spent on the military and the infrastructure. At some point there will be widespread poverty in one form or another to enable it. Economic games can be played until they just ultimately run out of options.

This already is noticeable. Social issues present from the ongoing drain of resources and money have already made their mark.

There are not too many nut case countries like North Korea and perhaps some in the middle east. There is something to be said for aid to Pakistan as well. The main one being why with their attitudes.

Russia and China are not really interested in outright aggression. Although China wants back territories that where historically theirs.

America is learning that their days of having excess influence in a region are slowly fading. No matter how much money is spent on the military.

Heard he's looking at spending the savings on food stamps.

Air&Road 02-25-2014 08:17 PM

Well Dude, since the defense budget is about a fourth of the entitlement budget I think you are correct.

Dudesky 02-25-2014 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Air&Road (Post 3292709)
Well Dude, since the defense budget is about a fourth of the entitlement budget I think you are correct.


'Kings of the East' , Buddy

Diesel911 02-25-2014 09:31 PM

[QUOTE=tjts1;3292304]Don't confuse a training excersize with war. They'll use every opportunity to train their people in a realistic environment the same way we do.

War between the US and China is pure tin foil hattery. If there was a war you would be dead in the first 20 minutes.[/QUOTE]

That is not what I got from the Comment. The Article I posted said that the USA had a Technological Edge.

Yet the Chinese were able to sneak a Submarine in the middle of our Fleet is indicator of the state of our Technology.

You assume that the War would play out the way you think. What if things don't happen the way you think.

I can see another Korean War Starting and them having to re-call our already small Military to Korea and then having the Chinese showing up again in the new Korean War but this time with vastly more number and similar Technology.

The Bulk of our Military might be defeated in Korea leaving us with what to negotiate?

Or suppose we do not reach Korea with sufficient Forces in time and N Korea wins. At the Same time PRC invades Taiwan and or/Japan.
Does the USA launch Nuclear Missiles or do they do something else? If so what else could the USA do.

In the above possibilities which is more helpful; having more or less People in the Military and which would is more likely to entice someone to start a war.

Diesel911 02-25-2014 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JB3 (Post 3292334)
Lets have a show of hands of people who actually think that the US of A and China will clash militarily over some islands China and Japan have been bickering over for 150 years (which historically Japan stole from China in the first place in the 1890s), and some unpopulated reefs in the south China sea that China wants to exploit in the exact same way we operated and operate in the Caribbean.

China is our second biggest trading partner after Canada, we import 400 billion dollars of merchandise from them, and export 100 billion dollars in merchandise to them.

After the European Union, the USA is the second largest trading partner of the PRC, and twice as profitable considering the imbalance of good sent vs goods received. Plus they have the wonderful skill of stealing international and national product patents, then producing and selling them in the home country of origin with impunity. Much too profitable a practice to seriously upset.

This isn't 1914. We aren't just flashing our knockers at each other, but have been actively procreating in the same bed for decades spawing profitable children, with vast industrial and commercial interests in each other's countries. There would have to be a hell of a lot more provocation before either of us is willing to jump out of that bed of money. The loss of Chinese trade would be a huge upset to both our economies


Having said that, of course China is a military threat, but our spiraling national debt is a much greater threat to both them and us (since if we default, they don't get paid). We can afford to trim our military budget down by HALF, and will still be spending more money on it than China. Last I checked, The USA was spending 739 BILLION dollars on our defense budget. China is spending 89 billion. In fact, we are spending more than the next 10 countries combined, including China.

There is plenty of room to save some money, out spend China, and do something about our debt.

China owns a lot of our debt. During the 1920s the USA used debt owed to USA Business as a Legal reason to send Troops into those Countries and control the Government and Finances of those countries. And, at the same time kept the Europeans from not doing the same.

So if our debt gets bad enough China could have a legal reason to step in.
Part of what I said was that the USA sends Billions Overseas as Aid. We should cut back on that and preserve our Military.

The situation is somewhat like reducing the size of a Police Force when the Crime level has dropped. A reduction in the size of the Police force creates an environment for Crime to come back.


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