i like to think i'm like yogi (smarter than the average bear) but i lost him after "extremistan".
i do think everyone saw this coming (real estate wise) in southern california; but i just used a simple formula:
debt service (on home mortgage) > potential rent income
once you saw that - about 2003? 2004? - you knew that it all was going to fall apart.
will try and read the article again, i promise, ...cross my heart