Thread: Buying gold?
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Old 09-20-2009, 09:39 PM
kknudson kknudson is offline
1990 500SL
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: Hawthorn Woods, IL. USA
Posts: 329
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
How quickly do you think the US dollar is going to move? Do you think it will hold fairly steady until the end of the year?
Hatte, I am more of a short term trader. Hours to days generally, with a lot of very short term scalping as well.
I have a general Longer term (6 months ish) target for the $/yen around 88.08, although I think 88.6 is more realistic. Trading around 91.4 right now.
Note that a 1 move is fairly big, although there have been some wild moves daily lately.


Timing though I can't say, guess AND only a GUESS, sometime 1st quarter 2010. Unless something major occurs I don't see it there before year end, although I do see it trading into the 90.ish before year end.

A break below 90 will cause a huge drop, then a return to the 90 level, before the final break occurs. And longer term I see even lower, unless the Poli's do something right

But I don't put much weight in my longer term predictions, a few days to a week, ok beyond that it's 50% guess, 25 % luck and then skill. And 25% skill is giving me a LOT of credit, a LOT.
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1990 500SL

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