Originally Posted by JollyRoger

What kills Paul with the Dems is his contradictory position on abortion. I have never understood how a guy who is such an ardent proponent of personal freedom over the power of the state can also be a pro-life fanatic. He also is on record calling for complete elimination of Social Security and Medicare. Those issues will doom him with Democrats, who would otherwise be very receptive to his anti-defense spending positions. He would attract maybe 1% of the Democratic vote, but he could well attract 50% or more of the GOP. That gives him his best chance of winning a three party race he ever had, so I bet he runs. Independents are tired of both parties, that is where he will attract the votes, and that hurts both parties. The math is not good. 30% of the electorate is GOP, 30% is Dem, the rest are independents. That means 34% going to Paul is not out of the question.