understand why the severe rice shortage in many nations is not a problem and in no way indicates a possible excess of world wide population pressure.

http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/IRIN/d08bdc8ed113a42989155893cca08dec.htm

One story I heard on the news had it that the Bangladesh govt. put our a call to buy umpteen metric tons of rice and got no offers. That is NO offers..

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Te futueo et caballum tuum

1986 300SDL, 362K
1984 300D, 138K

Rice, oats, wheat, barley, corn, grain sorghum (milo). The 6 most important food crops on the plant for humans and livestock. 3 are tropical/subtropical (rice, corn, grain sorghum) and 3 are temperate/subarctic (oats, wheat, barley).

Most people have food preferences that they learned as children. Most of us in North America don't consume much barley (except as beer!), but it's the 2nd or 3rd most important food crop! And so forth. The result is that folks who grow-up eating say rice, aren't likely to adapt quickly to grain sorghum, and vice versa.

There is also the issue of palatability. There maybe a lot of rice (for example) around of a long grained variety but if you're a short grain culture you may not like it.

As I understand it, with rice there is a transportation problem more than a production problem. What is a transportation problem? It is when a producer is unable to ship his produce to the consumer. There are many ways that can happen. With corn it's a problem of industrial applications competing for food. Livestock finishers are substituting wheat and other grains for corn since the corn is now going into ethanol production. So the wheat prices go up under pressure from consumers.

And it cascades around and around until some sort of new dynamic equilibrium is reached.

Speaking of transportation problem, what would happen if producers were unable to ship their grains because of say, a fuel interruption? Imagine a food importing country like oh ... North Korea, China, Iran etc.

B

The instability of transportation costs is a lot of why I don't whole heartedly embrace shipping off all of our production capacity to China, a la Aklim.

One of my clients are (married couple) personnel trainers. Every few months they get a huge pallet or two of dumb-bells, from 5 to 35 pounds usually, from China. Not knocking them, everyone does it now, but it just seems a bit weird to ship scrap ahrn to China and then ship it back as dumb-bells.

It looks like it works on paper, better cash flow for someone, but oil is being squandered for this bizarre arrangement.

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Te futueo et caballum tuum

1986 300SDL, 362K
1984 300D, 138K

Oil is being squandered for a lot of bizzare arangements.

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I'm sick of .sig files

Said a mouthful there.

BTW Chris, you want to get a crowd up for the next Palo Alto Concours so you and I can finally duke it out?

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Te futueo et caballum tuum

1986 300SDL, 362K
1984 300D, 138K

I'll be there ...

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In lean times, biotech grains are less taboo


Soaring food prices and global grain shortages are bringing new pressures on governments, food companies and consumers to relax their longstanding resistance to genetically engineered crops.

In Japan and South Korea, some manufacturers for the first time have begun buying genetically engineered corn for use in soft drinks, snacks and other foods. Until now, to avoid consumer backlash, the companies have paid extra to buy conventionally grown corn.

But with prices having tripled in two years, it has become too expensive to be so finicky.
"We cannot afford it," said a corn buyer at Kato Kagaku, a Japanese maker of corn starch and corn syrup.

In the United States, wheat growers and marketers, once hesitant about adopting biotechnology because they feared losing export sales, are now warming to it as a way to bolster supplies. Genetically modified crops contain genes from other organisms to make the plants resistance to insects, herbicides or disease. Opponents continue to worry that such crops have not been studied enough and that they might pose risks to health and the environment.

"I think it's pretty clear that price and supply concerns have people thinking a little bit differently today," said Steve Mercer, a spokesman for U.S. Wheat Associates, a federally supported cooperative that promotes American wheat abroad.

The group, which once cautioned farmers about growing biotech wheat, is working to get seed companies to restart development of genetically modified wheat and to get foreign buyers to accept it.

Even in Europe, where opposition to what the Europeans call Frankenfoods has been fiercest, some prominent government officials and business executives are calling for faster approvals of imports of genetically modified crops. They are responding in part to complaints from livestock producers, who say they might suffer a critical shortage of feed if imports are not accelerated.

In Britain, the National Beef Association, which represents cattle farmers, issued a statement this month demanding that "all resistance" to such crops "be abandoned immediately in response to shifts in world demand for food, the growing danger of global food shortages and the prospect of declining domestic animal production."

The chairman of the European Parliament's agriculture committee, Neil Parish, said that as prices rise, Europeans "may be more realistic" about genetically modified crops: "Their hearts may be on the left, but their pockets are on the right."

With food riots in some countries focusing attention on how the world will feed itself, biotechnology proponents see their chance. They argue that while genetic engineering might have been deemed unnecessary when food was abundant, it will be essential for helping the world cope with the demand for food and biofuels in the decades ahead.

Through gene splicing, the modified crops now grown — mainly canola, corn, cotton and soybeans — typically contain bacterial genes that help the plants resist insects or tolerate a herbicide that can be sprayed to kill weeds while leaving the crop unscathed. Biotechnology companies are also working on crops that might need less water or fertilizer, which could have a bigger impact on improving yield.

Certainly any new receptivity to genetically modified crops would be a boon to American exporters. The United States accounted for half the world's acreage of biotech crops last year.

But substantial amounts of corn, soy or canola are grown in Argentina, Brazil and Canada. China has developed insect-resistant rice that is awaiting regulatory approval in that country.

The pressure to re-evaluate biotech comes as prices of some staples like rice and wheat have doubled in the last few months, provoking violent protests in several countries including Cameroon, Egypt, Haiti and Thailand. Factors behind the price spikes include the diversion of crops to make biofuel, rising energy prices, growing prosperity in India and China, and droughts in some regions — including Australia, a major grain producer.

Biotechnology still certainly faces obstacles. Polls in Europe do not yet show a decisive shift in consumer sentiment, and the industry has had some recent setbacks. Since the beginning of the year France has banned the planting of genetically modified corn while Germany has enacted a law allowing for foods to be labeled as "GM free."

And a new international assessment of the future of agriculture, released last Tuesday, gave such tepid support to the role genetic engineering could play in easing hunger that biotechnology industry representatives withdrew from the project in protest. The report was a collaboration of more than 60 governments, with participation from companies and nonprofit groups, under the auspices of the World Bank and the United Nations.

Page 2:
http://www.iht.com/articles/2008/04/21/business/21crop.php?page=2

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