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  #16  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:30 PM
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Originally Posted by cmac2012 View Post
Nobody cares here . . . The knee jerk response of bored insular ivory tower pseudo-academicians is to dismiss such realities as sci-fi ramblings.
It's easy to sit around and pontificate when you can still afford to go buy what passes for "food" at the grocery store. It's the big gorilla in the room, and in this country our ignorance of it is going to bite us in the backside sooner rather than later in my opinion.

Sadly, I don't think anyone has a solution, and if anyone does, it'll be so unprofitable that it'll never be implemented.

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  #17  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:40 PM
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Originally Posted by pj67coll View Post
Desalination.

- Peter.
Will add to the cost of food significantly. Desal water has to be pumped, uphill, for long distances to be used in ag. Add to that the energy needed for the desal process. It will likely happen more and more but it is not a good solution.
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  #18  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:43 PM
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Originally Posted by elchivito View Post
I heard it. Disturbing and interesting. Mostly, nobody cares as long as groceries are cheap.
Groceries are cheap? Where do you live?
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  #19  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:51 PM
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Desalination.

- Peter.
Desalination = Energy.
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  #20  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:54 PM
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Originally Posted by cmac2012 View Post
Will add to the cost of food significantly. Desal water has to be pumped, uphill, for long distances to be used in ag. Add to that the energy needed for the desal process. It will likely happen more and more but it is not a good solution.
More than armed convoys trying to get food shipments thru strife torn tribal areas devolving into poverty driven civil wars?

The reality is that as populations explode groundwater resources will become inadequate for the purpose, not to mention envrionmentally degraded. As noted these things take millions of years to replenish as in the case of the Oglalla aquifer. There are practically unlimited resources of water surrounding every continent. The technology already exisits. The only thing standing it it's way is political will. Money needs to be spent in the quivalent of Manhattan projects to build these plants at the coasts and pump water to where it's needed.

- Peter.
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  #21  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:54 PM
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Desalting can be done, but it is very expensive. I don't see it as a current solution for farming, but it is a solution for life support.

We used to drill wells all the time, but we had some serious equipment to do it with. I guess I am just used to my level of water use when I made that statement.

One problem in drilling a well is that you might hit salt water. Oklahoma has been drilled into so much there are water maps of where to drill for fresh water and where to not drill due to high salt levels.

I wonder.... If political stability could be accomplished could Dams be built in African countries to make better use of Nile resources?
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  #22  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:56 PM
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Groceries are cheap? Where do you live?
I've been buying canned salmon from Trader Joe's for at least 5 or 6 years. Billed as wild caught Pacific. The price for the 7.5 oz. can stayed at $2.29 for years. I could hardly believe it. Salmon fishing closed right and left. The price has recently gone up to about $2.50. From what I can gather, a lot of people elsewhere would love to have that sort of price increase history.
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  #23  
Old 05-19-2011, 02:58 PM
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Originally Posted by Craig View Post
Desalination = Energy.
Ultimately all anything needs is enough money thrown at it which in turn is merely a factor of sufficient political will.

- Peter.
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  #24  
Old 05-19-2011, 03:03 PM
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Originally Posted by pj67coll View Post
Ultimately all anything needs is enough money thrown at it which in turn is merely a factor of sufficient political will.

- Peter.
... and sufficient money.

Yes, these are conceptually simple problems; however, we are talking about lots of cost and lots of infrastructure. China, for example, isn't even fully electrified and is currently in the process of building about 20 nuclear generating stations. Nothing is simple when a billion and a quarter people are involved.
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  #25  
Old 05-19-2011, 03:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Craig View Post
... and sufficient money.

Yes, these are conceptually simple problems; however, we are talking about lots of cost and lots of infrastructure. China, for example, isn't even fully electrified and is currently in the process of building about 20 nuclear generating stations. Nothing is simple when a billion and a quarter people are involved.
Yes but my point is that the countries with massive problems in regards to groundwater are often those that have money. The US for one. China is still a primitive third world country in many ways but it has money, hence your 20 nuke power stations. Dubai has the worlds largest desalinatoin plant. Not one of these countries has a problem with money. If they really regarded it as a necessity the political will would provide the money (with the possible exception of the US which is burdened by democracy). Hence my comment earlier regarding the Manhattan project.

- Peter.
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  #26  
Old 05-19-2011, 03:18 PM
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Originally Posted by pj67coll View Post
More than armed convoys trying to get food shipments thru strife torn tribal areas devolving into poverty driven civil wars?

The reality is that as populations explode groundwater resources will become inadequate for the purpose, not to mention envrionmentally degraded. As noted these things take millions of years to replenish as in the case of the Oglalla aquifer. There are practically unlimited resources of water surrounding every continent. The technology already exisits. The only thing standing it it's way is political will. Money needs to be spent in the quivalent of Manhattan projects to build these plants at the coasts and pump water to where it's needed.

- Peter.
I'm sure desal will become more widespread but unless it can be done mostly with solar, it will run up against limits of its own.

The ultimate solution IMO is to slow/stop/reverse population growth and furthering use of drip irrigation and the like.
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  #27  
Old 05-19-2011, 03:48 PM
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... Malthus solution for all the worlds trouble sounds just like the right wing today. I think the only thing that stops him from Republican Sainthood....
uhmm...

I don't see how it useful to pick someone who most folks would agree is at the least imbalanced if not border-line deranged and then based on an association that you make tar another group. That is a fallacious technique called a 'strawman'.

The descendants of Malthus, according to their own writings (Darwin, Sanger, etc) would tend to fall into the category of the left if that simplistic model is going to be used.

But I suggest that the the notion of binary choices left/right is too rigid a categorization for the complexities. It's not unusual, in a fairly short period of time to have myself be accused of being a rightist and then later in the same day a leftist.

For some people (I don't know you and am NOT saying this of you) the world consists of those who either agree or else are the enemy. I certainly would like a third option, or even a fourth.

Last edited by sjh; 05-19-2011 at 04:25 PM.
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  #28  
Old 05-19-2011, 03:49 PM
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Originally Posted by pj67coll View Post
Desalination.

- Peter.
We have untold options before us. It's going to be very exciting if we can keep our heads.
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  #29  
Old 05-19-2011, 04:18 PM
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I have followed Ehrlich since the 1960's and have seen his predictions evolve as they ... required recalibration. In the broad sweep he is undeniably correct, IMO. But his time-certain predictions have tended to disintegrate as deadlines pass and innovations undermine his predictions.

But there is no question in my mind that we are un an unsustainable trajectory and have been for approach 150 years. Is collapse immanent or will it be in 100 years? I doubt our trajectory will sustain beyond 50 years, but I've been wrong so many times with predictions I leave it to Ehrlich who is unbridled by his consistent string of failures.
I do tend to direct uncalled for crap in your direction at times, and you make some good points here. Ehrlich was way off in his predictions, as far as specific dates but the drift of his argument is hard to deny IMO. I think he realizes that his predictions have been incorrect in some ways but correct in others.

I think 'collapse' is perhaps the wrong word as things are not likely to go to hell everywhere all at once. What worries me is tens of thousands of Yemenis per week, for example, embarking for greener pastures when they hit intractable water shortages.
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  #30  
Old 05-19-2011, 04:27 PM
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I do tend to direct uncalled for crap ....

Now if you hit the weights with me you could direct all of that crap towards the iron plates...


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