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  #1  
Old 06-28-2013, 03:03 PM
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Join Date: Aug 2012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooka View Post

In any case... I hear the Saudis are none too happy with the drilling that is taking place in the US and are saying they might cut production to drive the price of oil to $85 a bbl. and keep it there. They are welcome to do this as it will do nothing but keep the price of oil stable for years to come. Even if Iran cuts off 100% of their exports, also known as cutting off their nose to spite their face, the Saudis could take up the slack in about three days.

I buy a lot of gasoline because I love to travel by car, so stable and lower prices are fine by me!

UPDATE 1-U.S. natgas rig count slips 1 to 353 -Baker Hughes | Reuters
If the Saudi's or any producer cut production, it would drive prices higher not lower as oil currently is around ninety seven dollars per bbl.
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  #2  
Old 06-28-2013, 03:18 PM
Pooka
 
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Originally Posted by sloride View Post
If the Saudi's or any producer cut production, it would drive prices higher not lower as oil currently is around ninety seven dollars per bbl.
And there there is reality.

If the Saudi's cut production the other OPEC members could replace it in less than an hour. Everyone is currently producing less than they are capable of. If the Saudi's cut their production to zero it would impact the market for about 48 hours since that's how long it would take for those not in the business to understand what they are really dealing with.

Oil will soon hit $85 a bbl., and it will stay there unless it goes lower.

You do not understand just how much oil is currently out there looking for a buyer.
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  #3  
Old 06-28-2013, 03:24 PM
Pooka
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
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By the way...

Spot price is currently $97 a bbl. That is if you need oil today.

The future price of oil is right at $85 a bbl and it drops off quite a bit after that.

This is because in the future Brazil will come on-line with a new field at the mouth of the Amazon that some folks think will crash the price of oil.

Trick stuff, but it all points to a great outlook for anyone who loves to drive!
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  #4  
Old 06-28-2013, 03:36 PM
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Join Date: May 2011
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^^^

I rather like to drive (for pleasure trips, not commuting). But if higher oil prices make people drive more and live further from home, this just means more traffic for me.

Cheap oil also makes people forget the lessons of the 70s, 80s, and mid-2000s, and move away from efficiency. Then when the next oil shock comes, it hits the economy hard.
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  #5  
Old 06-28-2013, 03:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pooka View Post
By the way...

Spot price is currently $97 a bbl. That is if you need oil today.

The future price of oil is right at $85 a bbl and it drops off quite a bit after that.

This is because in the future Brazil will come on-line with a new field at the mouth of the Amazon that some folks think will crash the price of oil.

Trick stuff, but it all points to a great outlook for anyone who loves to drive!
Back during the last run up in price (3 years ago?) I recall reading an interview with a Saudi prince or king and he said oil should currently (then) be, as you say, $85 per barrel. At the time, iirc, it was around $105 maybe?
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