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  #61  
Old 03-10-2008, 03:15 PM
TheDon's Avatar
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
Diesel jumped from $3.97 to $4.04 overnight. At this rate its going to hit the magic $5 mark before the end of the month.

I have been saying for years that $5 is the magic number, people will start to change at that price point. No one is going to be lining up to get crappy SUV's thats for sure.
thats when I get my appleseed back up and running

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  #62  
Old 03-10-2008, 03:15 PM
Craig
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Originally Posted by turbodeezl View Post
Two words: CREDIT CARDS
Yup, and those will be the same people who are $10K upside down on a $20 used SUV. They are already toast, they just don't know it yet.
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  #63  
Old 03-10-2008, 04:09 PM
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$4.40 a gallon - cheap! Here in the UK it's 111.9 pence per litre, that's about $2. $9 for an imperial gallon, just under $8 for a US one.

Stop complaining and enjoy it while you can.
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  #64  
Old 03-10-2008, 04:11 PM
Craig
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Originally Posted by Mick J View Post
$4.40 a gallon - cheap! Here in the UK it's 111.9 pence per litre, that's about $2. $9 for an imperial gallon, just under $8 for a US one.

Stop complaining and enjoy it while you can.
They enjoy complaining more than cheap fuel.
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  #65  
Old 03-10-2008, 04:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mick J View Post
$4.40 a gallon - cheap! Here in the UK it's 111.9 pence per litre, that's about $2. $9 for an imperial gallon, just under $8 for a US one.

Stop complaining and enjoy it while you can.

That's funny. In case you didn't realize, you guys have this little thing called widespread public transportation.
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  #66  
Old 03-10-2008, 05:02 PM
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$6.00 a US gallon in Oz.It's amazing how people adapt , no one stops driving .Me , its Journey to Forever time .
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  #67  
Old 03-10-2008, 05:06 PM
Craig
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I remember all kinds of dire predictions when gas jumped to about $0.50/gallon in the mid-70s, my dad was all bent out of shape. Then we had that little "shortage" and people were glad to buy it at almost any price.
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  #68  
Old 03-10-2008, 06:55 PM
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heck I remember 0.29 a gallon for regular gas in the late 60's does that make me a Yuppie? anyhow, I paid $4 a gal last week for diesel at my discount place in Redwood City
I'm sure it is headed North of that with $108 a barrel oil. OPEC is dealing the cards and Wall Street speculators are making it go up also.
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  #69  
Old 03-10-2008, 06:57 PM
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When I was a kid I thought the octane rating represented the price. Usually it was pretty close to it.
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  #70  
Old 03-10-2008, 07:00 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pawoSD View Post
Every time I see (several times per day) some rich soccer mom bringing her daughter somewhere in their extra extra large 2008 GMC Suburban, Escalade, or Yukon XL etc...I feel like shooting out their tires. Why do you need a 19 foot long 7000lb 12 mpg vehicle to bring your daughter places. Insanity. Its almost like the people who can afford to waste a lot (not all those people, but a large amount of them) take it as far as they can and waste endlessly.

I agree on most SUV owners being inelastic customers. Gas will always be a "small" cost to them on a yearly basis, even if it was $10 per gallon.

But then there are the people that can't afford to drive an SUV, but do as a status symbol. I went through a drive through yesterday (only got some fries!) and the guy in front of me in his 2002 Expedition TURNED IT OFF while he was ordering! ha! Started it again when he had to move forward to the window. He must be feeling the pump pain.
Yesterdays news was that the number of car repos spiked last month. Just wait till the people with 2 or 3 reverse mortgages that haven't defaulted on their mortgages start dumping big gas guzzlers, the market will price them down and the poor will buy them to drive and wind up paying the high gas prices then they will go broke when it hits $5 a gal. This is the spiral we are in.
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  #71  
Old 03-10-2008, 08:42 PM
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I see that a lot with diesel pickups, the damn things are so loud that they can't order with their engines running! Sound like cement mixers.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pawoSD View Post
I went through a drive through yesterday (only got some fries!) and the guy in front of me in his 2002 Expedition TURNED IT OFF while he was ordering! ha! Started it again when he had to move forward to the window. He must be feeling the pump pain.
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  #72  
Old 03-10-2008, 10:41 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Craig View Post
I hope you are correct, but I suspect the "magic number" is significantly higher. I do think you will start to see some changes at $5, but I don't think it will be drastic.

Most of the folks buying those SUVs are pretty "inelastic" consumers. Say you drive your 15 mpg SUV 15K miles per year at $3/gallon, thats $3000 per year ($250/month, $8/day). If the fuel cost increase to $5/gallon, we are talking about $5000 per year ($415/month, $14/day). I just don't see too many folks changing their behavior over $6/day (coffee money).

I do think the used market will take a hit, but that may just encourage folks to keep their SUVs longer because they are harder to get rid of. Over time the new market will take a hit, but I think it will take a while (5 years maybe).

Yeah but the average Joe makes only $30k, so how the F are they going to pull that one off?

Say you make $36,000 a year, thats $3k a month. Throw in the SUV payment of $400 and you are down to $2,600. So with gas and insurance that is almost 1/3 of there income; before living expenses!

Not that this shocks me, I see these types all the time, or actualy my mortgage broker does. They all rent because they cannot afford to buy a house, unless they get rid of the car and make life style changes, which they won't do.

I can understand the coffee money argument if you are making $200k a year, but at an income that is "average" its going to hurt. The more you make the smaller percentage fuel expenses are and the more irrelevent it becomes. But simple finance should make anyone who isn't in the top 10 percent change there habits.

I fail to see how these people can remain inelastic for long.
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  #73  
Old 03-10-2008, 10:49 PM
AHH,What's up Doc????
 
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I'm just glad all my vehicles use Biodiesel at $3.59 a gallon if I get lazy and don't feel like making any more!

I'm just glad my vehicles are not big ugly gas guzzling dinosaurs! Even my Dodge Ram Cummins 6 gets 25.6 MPG when I drive it empty!
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  #74  
Old 03-10-2008, 11:03 PM
Craig
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hatterasguy View Post
Yeah but the average Joe makes only $30k, so how the F are they going to pull that one off?

Say you make $36,000 a year, thats $3k a month. Throw in the SUV payment of $400 and you are down to $2,600. So with gas and insurance that is almost 1/3 of there income; before living expenses!
I agree that these folks are going to be completely hosed the next time the economy blips due to energy or anything else. Anyone with a $36K income and a $400 car payment almost deserves it, too. IMHO, having any car payment is about the dumbest thing you can do with your pants on anyway. Having 30% of your income tied up in any vehicle is just stupid, I wouldn't even tie up 30% of my income on my housing. These people are the reason the foreclosures and repro's are rising rapidly.
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  #75  
Old 03-10-2008, 11:54 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PeterSibley View Post
its Journey to Forever time .
you dont actually visit that website and use the information they have....

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