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-   -   Rick Santelli RANT (http://www.peachparts.com/shopforum/showthread.php?t=245701)

Fitz 02-23-2009 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lutzTD (Post 2119448)
good at least we wont be paying the section 8 housing cost for them in an apartment until they get kicked out, and they will be a decent custodian to keep the copper and fixture thieves at bay

Public housing or renting elsewhere is exactly where these people belong. Home ownership isn't an entitlement. Plow the houses under and plant trees and urban gardens; call it a "green job".


Matt L 02-23-2009 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lutzTD (Post 2119448)
good at least we wont be paying the section 8 housing cost for them in an apartment until they get kicked out, and they will be a decent custodian to keep the copper and fixture thieves at bay

I do believe that they will keep anyone ELSE from stealing that scrap metal.

MS Fowler 02-23-2009 01:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JollyRoger (Post 2119300)
Ah yes, that Working-Class Hero, The CNBC Derivatives Trader Guy. Yes, indeedy he's looking out for the little guy.

Of course you realize that the ad hominum is the argument you use when you have no argument. :)

pj67coll 02-23-2009 01:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fitz (Post 2119485)
Public housing or renting elsewhere is exactly where these people belong. Home ownership isn't an entitlement. Plow the houses under and plant trees and urban gardens; call it a "green job".

Your darn tootin!. I just read an article in the "West Valley View". A small locally circulated sheet in the Phoenix west valley (hardest hit in the nation in the property implosion). It was written by a realtor no less and for the first time I saw in print what I've been thinking for a while. Essentially he was saying that O's plan will place an artificial floor under the price decline. This will prolong the problem rather than help to fix it. The danger exists that builders will start to builld homes again when there is still a serious oversupply of houses. And finally that tearing down homes and using the space for other purposes is probably a good idea and the single best method of addressing the problem.

That last may not apply nationwide but it's certainly the case here.

- Peter.

JollyRoger 02-23-2009 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MS Fowler (Post 2119566)
Of course you realize that the ad hominum is the argument you use when you have no argument. :)

Even if he is one of the villians in the play? This man has a blatant conflict of interest, his whole net worth at this point is a fiction on paper, and their vested interest is for the fiction to continue. If the government starts taking actions that would give real value to his magic instruments, he will be as he should be, bankrupt. This entire bailout has so far worked wonders at keeping that from happening, we should be seeing lines of frog-marched bankers on their ways to jail or on window ledges - instead they have been given billions. They now want either the real estate or the right to keep the outrageous loans on their books. Obama's plan will let them have neither. This man is supposed to be some sort of popular hero? You would do better to choose someone less of a bloodsucker, say, Dracula, for instance.

RichC 02-23-2009 07:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MS Fowler (Post 2119240)
For the sake of argument, we will grant that this is true.
Does it follow that the BEST way to fix the situation is to pay the mortgages of the defaulters? I heard that the re-default rate on those that were previously helped is over 90%.
Maybe the best way, is to do nothing. The value of the unoccupied houses will fall, but only to a point where some people think they are bargains. At that point the house is sold, a new mortgage is written and a new homeowner moves in to the formerly vacant house. The cost to me, is ZERO, unless I sold my house at the bottom of the market because I was fearful.
The current plan cost me, and you, and our children, and our children's children Trillions of dollars. Do you understand what a trillion is?
Which plan is better?

I dont know what the answer is.

I do know that people strip copper wire out of empty houses.

Fitz 02-23-2009 10:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JollyRoger (Post 2119573)
Even if he is one of the villians in the play? This man has a blatant conflict of interest, his whole net worth at this point is a fiction on paper, and their vested interest is for the fiction to continue.

Alan Greenspan was instrumental in the creation of the credit bubble, promoted the use of creative financing including ARMs, and upon leaving the Fed went to work for a hedge fund with a huge portfolio of Credit Default Swaps betting on a collapse of the real estate and credit markets. There's your villain with the conflict of interest.

Santelli by comparison is a nobody, but he does give voice to the frustrations of middle-class Americans. That alone will earn him the scorn of the Left and the establishment media. They hate middle-class Americans.

JollyRoger 02-24-2009 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fitz (Post 2120260)
Alan Greenspan was instrumental in the creation of the credit bubble, promoted the use of creative financing including ARMs, and upon leaving the Fed went to work for a hedge fund with a huge portfolio of Credit Default Swaps betting on a collapse of the real estate and credit markets. There's your villain with the conflict of interest.

Santelli by comparison is a nobody, but he does give voice to the frustrations of middle-class Americans. That alone will earn him the scorn of the Left and the establishment media. They hate middle-class Americans.

Yes indeedy, Chicago Mercantile Board member Santelli, he's just a "middle class" guy.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15837966/

el presidente 02-24-2009 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fitz (Post 2119485)
Public housing or renting elsewhere is exactly where these people belong.

Debtor's Prison.

mgburg 02-24-2009 01:22 PM

Right now, the bankers are sitting on our money, not loaning it to anyone because of one thing...

The current interest rates...

They're too low...

Here the government has given THEM (Loaned) money that they are suppose to loan out...but someone, somewhere didn't open up the door to the candy store and tell the bankers at what rate (or maybe they structured the rate) they can go up to...

So, until someone, somewhere takes the stopper off the interest rates that the bankers can charge the idiots to borrow our money...and some other government entity enters the fray to guarantee those loans so the banks won't have to "pony up" out of their pockets 'cause the lendees might, again, default on the same loans once more...

How long do we have to watch the same turd circle the bowl before someone gets it and takes the money back and says "Stop this F***ING MADNESS!!!"

Obviously, "O" doesn't have a clue about this and neither does anyone else in DC...or they're trying to write it in somewhere where no one with an once of common sense will be able to catch it 'til it becomes law...

Then we're officially screwed...

JollyRoger 02-24-2009 01:39 PM

Bankers don't make money on the interest rate, they make money on the spread. Every dollar loaned is tied back on their books to the money they themselves borrowed to make loans, say for example interest rates at the Fed were 4% on a given day, they know that if they loan out that money at 7.5%, they will get a profit of 3.5% on it for the next twenty years if everyone pays, usually in reality 2.8 to 3% after defaults, and it even gets sweeter if you can make the loan an ARM.

Since they are using your money to pay back the fed, they are raking off free money for the next thirty years essentially managing the paper work between you and the Fed. Now say along comes the Congress, which passes a law saying that a person has a right to re-negotiate his ARM, no matter that the underlying value of the real estate is in the crapper. In an up-real estate market, they would be falling all over themselves to do a re-fi, but in this market, well, it would take an Act of Congress to get them to do so. Now they got big problems. The value of the real estate vs. its original selling price makes the loan riskier. In addition, they may have originally borrowed the money themselves at 4%, and now they have to re-negotiate the loan to the current rate, and a fixed rate at that, of what is currently about 4%, meaning they will have to carry you for the next twenty or thirty years on the books at a 0% or less loss/gain.

The solution? Remove the profit motive for a little while, nationalize the banks for a set period of time, allow people to purchase common stock in the nationalized banks, and spin it off to the stockholders when times become better, or, set up a "toxic bank" to specifically handle these mortgages. Or let the banks go broke. The reason banks are not lending money is because of those three alternatives, none has been chosen at this point. If they sit on their cash, they stay solvent. No one likes to loan money on uncertainty.

If you want some good news, all of this makes it an excellent time to take a risk to perhaps make a fortune in the stock market. Once this central question is address, stocks will begin to rise again. I'm buying right now. GE at 9$ a share, that's one heck of a bargain.

Fitz 02-24-2009 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JollyRoger (Post 2120760)
Yes indeedy, Chicago Mercantile Board member Santelli, he's just a "middle class" guy.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/15837966/

No comment from you regarding Greenspan and John Paulson's hedge fund. Why don't you post Timmy Geithner's CV and tell me why I should trust anything he's proposing?

And how are they going to renegotiate these loans? Those upside-down and sub-prime borrowers entered into binding contracts when they signed the papers and with the promise of spreading risk those mortgages have been sliced, diced, securitized and sold down the river.

What about the CDSs that served as insurance on the default of those mortgages? Is the government going to renegotiate those as well or will they declare a new day in America and void all of the contracts?

Good luck with GE at $9. Unless you've seen the books, I don't know how you can be sure that's a bargain. And the banks aren't lending, because they know what's out there hiding...mountains of BAD debt, leveraged to Doomsday and beyond.

JollyRoger 02-24-2009 03:56 PM

I hardly think Greenspan or Giethner have made themselves leaders of some "tea party", perhaps you can tell me what they have to do with the discussion at hand? My point is Santelli is just another fox looking to excuse the feathers hanging from his chin as he exhorts the chickens to join him.

Buying GE is like buying a divesified portfolio. I like their long term prospects. And the CDS's, what do you think you have been buying under Bush's TARP? What exactly do you think AIG is being bailed out for, writing too many motorcycle policies?

tankdriver 02-24-2009 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pj67coll (Post 2119568)
This will prolong the problem rather than help to fix it. The danger exists that builders will start to builld homes again when there is still a serious oversupply of houses. And finally that tearing down homes and using the space for other purposes is probably a good idea and the single best method of addressing the problem.

That last may not apply nationwide but it's certainly the case here.

- Peter.

I doubt builders will start building homes again when even with Obama's plan, there won't be any buyers. At best people will be abls to stay in their home. No one's going to be making money on their homes or be able to sell to move to a newly built one.


Quote:

Originally Posted by JollyRoger (Post 2120829)
Bankers don't make money on the interest rate, they make money on the spread. Every dollar loaned is tied back on their books to the money they themselves borrowed to make loans, say for example interest rates at the Fed were 4% on a given day, they know that if they loan out that money at 7.5%, they will get a profit of 3.5% on it for the next twenty years if everyone pays, usually in reality 2.8 to 3% after defaults, and it even gets sweeter if you can make the loan an ARM.

Since they are using your money to pay back the fed, they are raking off free money for the next thirty years essentially managing the paper work between you and the Fed. Now say along comes the Congress, which passes a law saying that a person has a right to re-negotiate his ARM, no matter that the underlying value of the real estate is in the crapper. In an up-real estate market, they would be falling all over themselves to do a re-fi, but in this market, well, it would take an Act of Congress to get them to do so. Now they got big problems. The value of the real estate vs. its original selling price makes the loan riskier. In addition, they may have originally borrowed the money themselves at 4%, and now they have to re-negotiate the loan to the current rate, and a fixed rate at that, of what is currently about 4%, meaning they will have to carry you for the next twenty or thirty years on the books at a 0% or less loss/gain.

The solution? Remove the profit motive for a little while, nationalize the banks for a set period of time, allow people to purchase common stock in the nationalized banks, and spin it off to the stockholders when times become better, or, set up a "toxic bank" to specifically handle these mortgages. Or let the banks go broke. The reason banks are not lending money is because of those three alternatives, none has been chosen at this point. If they sit on their cash, they stay solvent. No one likes to loan money on uncertainty.

Good post.

Fitz 02-24-2009 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JollyRoger (Post 2120960)
I hardly think Greenspan or Giethner have made themselves leaders of some "tea party", perhaps you can tell me what they have to do with the discussion at hand?

You were looking for a villain with a conflict of interest, and I gave you Greenspan. For some reason you believe Santelli has more influence over the markets than the Federal Reserve Chairman. Geithner is the Treasury Secretary, I thought you knew that, and presumably the man behind the plan that caused Santelli's reaction.


Quote:

Buying GE is like buying a divesified portfolio. I like their long term prospects. And the CDS's, what do you think you have been buying under Bush's TARP? What exactly do you think AIG is being bailed out for, writing too many motorcycle policies?
Yes, it's a great plan. First taxpayers buy the crap mortgages, then taxpayers assume the insurance obligations due upon the crap mortgages going into default. You never did explain how all of this was going to be renegotiated or even whom they would be negotiating with.


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